Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000280 0.000313 0.000348 0.000389 0.000434 0.000483 0.000540
2025-04-27 0.000240 0.000286 0.000338 0.000401 0.000477 0.000563 0.000669
2025-05-04 0.000207 0.000261 0.000325 0.000407 0.000509 0.000633 0.000794
2025-05-11 0.000182 0.000240 0.000313 0.000411 0.000540 0.000701 0.000921
2025-05-18 0.000159 0.000219 0.000298 0.000408 0.000558 0.000755 0.001033
2025-05-25 0.000143 0.000205 0.000290 0.000412 0.000586 0.000822 0.001168
2025-06-01 0.000128 0.000190 0.000277 0.000409 0.000601 0.000872 0.001283
2025-06-08 0.000115 0.000178 0.000268 0.000408 0.000619 0.000926 0.001407
2025-06-15 0.000106 0.000168 0.000260 0.000409 0.000640 0.000985 0.001541
2025-06-22 0.000096 0.000157 0.000251 0.000405 0.000653 0.001033 0.001662
2025-06-29 0.000090 0.000151 0.000249 0.000412 0.000682 0.001106 0.001827
2025-07-06 0.000084 0.000145 0.000244 0.000415 0.000703 0.001169 0.001980
2025-07-13 0.000077 0.000136 0.000235 0.000411 0.000715 0.001220 0.002119
2025-07-20 0.000073 0.000133 0.000236 0.000423 0.000754 0.001317 0.002344
2025-07-27 0.000069 0.000128 0.000233 0.000428 0.000782 0.001398 0.002547
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000124 0.000230 0.000432 0.000809 0.001477 0.002755
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000117 0.000223 0.000429 0.000820 0.001530 0.002917
2025-08-17 0.000056 0.000113 0.000220 0.000433 0.000847 0.001613 0.003142
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000107 0.000213 0.000429 0.000857 0.001667 0.003314
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000103 0.000208 0.000428 0.000872 0.001730 0.003508
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000099 0.000205 0.000429 0.000893 0.001804 0.003730
2025-09-14 0.000043 0.000094 0.000199 0.000426 0.000903 0.001858 0.003916
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000092 0.000198 0.000433 0.000935 0.001960 0.004207